Friday, August 24, 2012

A Big Boost To The Government


11 Silver Estates,
Pilibhit Bypass Road,
PO Rohilkhand University
Bareilly-243006 (U.P.)
Mobile: 9411900090, 09999722636
 
Air Marshal Ashok K. Goel (Retd.)
                                               PVSM AVSM VM

 
 


The Fact File
20 August 2012
A Big Boost To The Government
The UPA government, finally, has some reason to cheer. It seems to have pulled off a pleasant surprise by delivering on its promise of greater inclusive growth. The best evidence of the greater inclusive growth comes from the numbers on consumption provided by the National Sample Survey (NSS) for 2011-12, released late last week.
The NSS numbers show that the spending of the rural population has picked up at a much faster pace than that of the urban segment over the last two years. This is striking in its reversal of the trend of decades.
But what is more important is that the improvements in the fortunes of the rural economy is not just because of the growing subsidy doles, like the fertilizer subsidies and spending on employment creation, or social welfare schemes. It is mainly because of the improvements in investments and productivity in the rural economy and especially in agriculture. And this substantial improvement in productivity of agriculture investments was accompanied by an even more significant development, namely the sharp fall in the number of people employed in agriculture by as much as 157 lakh from 259 million.
Thus the sharp boost to rural consumption, highlighted in the NSS for 2011-12, is no freak accident but a validation of the success of the rural development program implemented by the UPA government.
So it is to the government’s credit that the rural poor have gained substantially in recent years. But this is a record that it will find hard to sustain in the current year with large parts of the rural economy already damaged by a severe drought.

(An extract of an article published in TOI dated 7 August 2012
by Pyaralal  Raghavan)

Anna’s party would be a great blunder


11 Silver Estates,
Pilibhit Bypass Road,
PO Rohilkhand University
Bareilly-243006 (U.P.)
Mobile: 9411900090, 09999722636
 
Air Marshal Ashok K. Goel (Retd.)
                                               PVSM AVSM VM

 
 


The Fact File

20 August 2012

No. of articles have appeared on Anna and his movement. This best was published in TOI Sunday edition by Swaminathan S Anklesaria Aiyar Extracts

Anna’s party would be a great blunder

This is madness. Please abandon the idea. A political party has to take a stand on a wide array of issues. This will irretrievably dilute your focus on corruption. Many Muslims back you on corruption, but hate Ramdev.

Success in politics entails alliances and coalitions, and this will mean compromises with the very parties you castigate as corrupt.  The problem is that you and your team have been spoiled by the mass public attention you attracted last year. You incorrectly thought you had suddenly become great national leaders. Dead wrong.

Annaji, a national anti-corruption platform cannot be based on support from Delhi’s middle class or TV anchors. You have failed to conquer Delhi. Instead of seeking a quick fix in a new political party, please accept that the way to change India is not from Delhi downward but from the grassroots upwards.

You have more dependable fans and followers in Maharashtra than you will ever have in Delhi. Please go back to your grassroots and try to cleanse Maharashtra first. If you cannot cleanse Maharashtra, why imagine you can cleanse India?

How True !



Vows to IAS Officer


11 Silver Estates,
Pilibhit Bypass Road,
PO Rohilkhand University
Bareilly-243006 (U.P.)
Mobile: 9411900090, 09999722636


Air Marshal Ashok K. Goel (Retd.)
                                               PVSM AVSM VM

As I Saw it- Fact File                                 
 



                                                                              06 Aug 2012
Vows of Indian Civil Aviation

Civil Aviation had two periods of boom, early nineties when the economy was opening. That is the time when 16 airlines, small & big started operation. Thirteen closed down within no time and three lingered on. The second boom showed its colors during the period 2000-04, especially with the concept of LCCS (Low Cost Carreer). Eight airlines came on the national scene two (Deccan & Sahara) were swallowed by bigger fish. (Deccan by King Fisher and Sahara by Jet Airways. Soon two major actors operations started staggering and stinking.

Air India

An airline started by Tata’s, was pride of India. Known as ‘Maharaja’ of civil aviation globally. Recognized for its glamorous character of operation, known for its best utilization rate and low employees rate (per aircraft), ensured high productivity. It was known for its hospitality and excellent on board service. Though there were no other players in the field till early nineties, hence no competition.

Soon (in early nineties) civil aviation sector started expanding. The airline became a civil aviation ministry’s baby to play around. Soon the ripples of mis-management started showing its color. Another spanner was thrown in and the domestic IA and AI were merged and became “Air India”. The year 2007 was the beginning of another era of mis management. The merger plan was ill conceived, not well though out, and poorly executed. Class distinction within the same organization was not a systemic approach and displayed lack of professional “Management Mantra”.

What has ailed the Air India?

Firstly: 2007 ill conceived half baked merger of IA & AI, creating a class distinction.
Secondly: Trying to expand too early and too fast. One has to understand the aircraft manufactures (OEM’s) would forecast heavy & fast boom. Forecasted 25% increase in traffic for next 5 years, their aim remains to sell their aircraft.
Thirdly: The AI board based on such forecasts placed orders for modern and ultramodern aircraft. Also recruited large no. of aircrew’s cabin crews and support staff.
Fourthly: We should have minimum of 200 hrs per aircraft per month UR, preferably 300 hrs per aircraft per month. We should not go for leasing aircraft either dry or wet lease.
Fifthly: Large no. of pilots. (As per media reports AI has nearly 1500 pilots on its strength). As per the Airline operation norm should have seven sets of crews per air craft. For example with 50 aircraft on line, (flying daily leaving aircraft on maintenance) the total no. of pilots should not be more than 700 pilots. The aim should be to ensure Utilization rate of 300 hrs per aircraft per month.
Sixthly: AI pilots are given a protected flying hrs cover of 70-80 hrs per pilot. Pilots not flying even a single hr in a month being paid flying allowance for 70 to 80 hrs. Highly irrational and unwarranted. This situation would not arise if aircrew induction is rationalized.
Air India is in a debt of Rs 50 K cr. The Govt has bailed out AI many times. The recent 58 day strike for their unreasonable demands put the AI and MOCA/the Govt in great disrepute. The passengers were put to extraordinary grief and pain, directly and indirectly (rise in air ticket prices due to high demand & low availability of seats)

This is the first time that MOCA Shri Ajit Singh decided to handle the situation with rationale and firmness. What MOCA has to do:

a.      Rationalise the fleet
b.      Rationalise the pilot’s status.
c.       Rationalise the pay, allowance the status of pilots, cabin crews and maintenance personnel, rationalize the seniority and core competency based on their seniority in AI now. (Dis regarding whether they belonged to IA or AI.)
d.      Do not take aircraft on lease if you have extra aircraft lease then out.
e.      Rationalise the per aircraft manpower as per national and global standards Around 100 (+20-10). The fat and the parasites to be removed.   
f.        An undertaking from the pilots and other disciplines “They would not resort to strikes/fake sickness for next 5 years, till the time the airline reestablishes its health and lost glory

The attitude and the culture of the airline need to be changed I am reminded of one incident. “During 1991 I was Director Operation (Tpt & Helicopters) at Air Hq. Saddam had invaded Kuwait. Americans were to go in to Iraq. Before that, large Indian population from Iraq and Kuwait were to be evacuated. Six IL-76 aircraft of IAF were engaged in this task working alongside with AI. The sensitive areas of Bagdad, Basra and Kuwait were assigned for IL-76 operation. The IL fleet was based at Mumbai and working alongwith AI. One day (after a week of operation) Mr. Madan Lal, Commercial Director AI called me up to say Mr. Goel, “compliments to the air force crews. I wish AI had this kind of crews” my answer was “Mr. Madan Lal when an IAF crew sits in the cockpit his sole aim is mission accomplishment, where as AI crew is only counting his dollors.

Mr. Madan Lal totally agreed with my response. Can we ever see a change in our AI pilots attitude? MOCA to ponder

King Fisher

Started its operation just over 5 years back. Most glamour’s show, hifi in the real style of Vijaya Mallaya. The biggest liquor baron of India who has made a global mark. The first new starter who captured the overseas market, galloped the capt Gopinath’s baby “Deccan Airways” the first LCC (low cost carrier) and established himself above the equals.  He was literally dictating the norms, terms and conditions to other pvt operators. Where did he go wrong?


Firstly: Too fast an expansion program
Secondly: Wanted to establish a distinct identity for KF among the equals.
Thirdly: Lop sided, ill conceived venture to distinguish KF from others In that.

a.      He (VM) established exclusive  cabin crew institutions, nearly half a dozen of them.
b.      He(VM) interviewed and selected  himself the air hostesses. That I will present the best of hostesses to my guests. (As KF referred the passengers in their announcements at the airports).
c.       He (VM) provided extra ordinary hospitality and care for the passengers on their arrival at the airport.
d.      He (VM) provided free snacks on board the LCC flight. Most of the time it was rubbish.
e.      He himself used to welcome the passengers( through a recorded message) on board the flights.

Most of other ills were that of AI. He wanted to run the Air line business as one man show, failed to create a TEAM. The success of any business venture, is in establishing ethnically correct and economically strong practices. God save the KF.
He (VM) himself is responsible for bringing the airline (KF) to a stage of bankruptcy and nearly stands close to its ruination.