Political Turmoil – 10 / 2020 25 October 2020

Friends & Critics –Few wards on happenings in EAST OF LADDAKH & GALWAN VELLY Four months violent face-offs, increasing points of military conflict, intensifying military build-up, banning of 177 Chinese apps, check on Chinese investments by India, and an inconclusive meeting between the defense ministers of India and China on September 4 in Moscow. Is an India-China war inevitable? The questions is uppermost in many minds. a) Military view – A 1967 NATHULA Another flashpoint was Nathula a mountain pass in Sikkim (then a kingdom, but an Indian protectorate)-sandwiched between Bhutan, Chinese-ruled Tibet and Nepal. During a series of clashes in Nathu La and Cho La, Some 80 Indian soldiers died. Idnia counted up to 400 Chinese casualties. b) 1975 TULUNG LA– This skirmish was the last time shots were officially fired across the border and four Indian soldiers were ambushed and killed. Recently, Chinese troops abducted five hunters from the Nacho area, the last administrative circle along the McMahon Line in Arunachal Pradesh. c) Other Reasons – China has not fought a war in over four decades. Under the circumstances, where China stands internationally isolated. India certainly isn’t keen to escalate the situation. d) Most Important – by occupying the heights, India has improved its bargaining position. It may be tough for the PLA to accept. The heights are occupied by no less then SFF Troops. Special force created in 1963 to capture TIBET only. Which is part of RAW. Possible Solution – A summit is to be called between MODI and XI. No egos. May be organized at a neutral place like – Nepal – Bangladesh – Sri Lanka or even Singapore. Agenda – suggested. “Let-us define the LAC. Withdrawal of the troops to pre April – 2020 dates. Create a no conflict Zone. Even ff required compromise economic bans imposed by India”. We have to be very bold and not be involved in Chest Thumping. Snippets A- India will not cede even an inch of territory: Says Rajnath Singh. RM of India B- Peace along LAC disturbed impacted India-China ties. Border issue is A very Complicated and Difficult Matter: Says jaishankar FM of Idnia. Many more writer-up on Defense & National Security issues and Happenings around the world read Go on : http://airmarshalashokgoel.blogspot.com/ JAI HIND – JAI BHARAT

Political Turmoil – 09 / 2020 - 27th September 2020

Political Turmoil – 09 / 2020 Friends & Critics – An Act of GOD (As Stated by Hon. FM) GDP as stated decline to – 23.9 or below. Our sources of income to the exchequer are (a) RBI funding. Rupees 1.76 lacks corers in addition 59 thousand corers, may be more in the offing. (b) Unabated increase in Diesel & Petrol prices to the tune of Rs. 10 per Lt. in last 4 months or so. Even though globally prices of Crude Oil declining (c) Payment of DA to serving and retired Gov. officials stand frozen from 01st January 2020 till 31st March, 2021 May be Extended further. (d) No allotment of GST to states as under the agreed formula. Why Does Growth Falter? – India routinely jettisons financial stability for myopic adjustments in government expenditures. Put simply, “phone banking” or behest lending has partly paved way for “phone central banking” as an all-encompassing arrow from the government’s quiver directed towards short-term growth stimulus with back-loaded macroeconomic misdirection. – V.V. Acharya former dy Governor of RBI. Snippets Next on happenings in East of Ladakh. – Galwan Valley. To read in detail on Kargil War and many more read Go on : http://airmarshalashokgoel.blogspot.com/ JAI HIND – JAI BHARAT

Political Turmoil – 08 / 2020 30, August, 2020 Friends & Critics – Friends & Critics – Choti – Choti Beaaten A- Cooling Period – Their was a time till the 90’ties. Anybody retiring from Govt. Service had to wait for 2 years before taking-up any other appointment or joining politics. But the things have changed now that very senior people even while in service start making political statement or favoritism towards ruling dispensation to earn political space. Very recent example GEN. V. K. Singh, Mr. R. K. Singh, IAS, and more recent Chief Justice of India, Mr. Ranjan Gogoi. B- Covid-19 – General Life is most affected. Education is taking its toll. Online education is farce. Only 3% of people can take advantage. Travel & Tourism is most severely affected. Even in this category is small time are worst. C- Economy – As it is the economy has been showing downward trends, from 8% down to 3.1%. Added to this the Covid-19 has further shown is effect. The FM in her last Press Conference stated “It is all GOD’S Doing”. Because in BJP parlance “Modi Makes No Mistakes”. Economist state 1st stage Demonetization, 2nd stage ill conceived GST and poorly implemented. 3rd stage poorly managed Macro level economic activities. D- National Security LAC – Chinese have comfortably occupied positions between fingers 4 and 8 since first weak of May – 2020. These positions have given them strategic advantage in the GALWAN VALLY. Which they (Chinese) will never vacate. Are we ready for a skirmish like Kargil ?. Snippets A- Overcome Fear – Lockdowns don’t work But many chief ministers fail to see the larger picture. - Editorial TOI, 28 July, 2020 B- Colourism and Racism. The Indian variant of colourism doesn’t automatically gatecrash into “Black Lives Matter” – Says Dipankar Gupta, TOI 29th July, 2020 C- 73 Years of Freedom – India has come quite far. But its tryst which destiny is still unrealized. In New Delhi to open a restaurant rquires 26 licences, and 45 documents to obtain clearance from the police alone; in China you need just four licenses. – Says Pawan K. Verma, TOI, 15th Aug., 2020 JAI HIND – JAI BHARAT

Political Turmoil – 08 / 2020 30, August, 2020 Friends & Critics – Friends & Critics – Choti – Choti Beaaten A- Cooling Period – Their was a time till the 90’ties. Anybody retiring from Govt. Service had to wait for 2 years before taking-up any other appointment or joining politics. But the things have changed now that very senior people even while in service start making political statement or favoritism towards ruling dispensation to earn political space. Very recent example GEN. V. K. Singh, Mr. R. K. Singh, IAS, and more recent Chief Justice of India, Mr. Ranjan Gogoi. B- Covid-19 – General Life is most affected. Education is taking its toll. Online education is farce. Only 3% of people can take advantage. Travel & Tourism is most severely affected. Even in this category is small time are worst. C- Economy – As it is the economy has been showing downward trends, from 8% down to 3.1%. Added to this the Covid-19 has further shown is effect. The FM in her last Press Conference stated “It is all GOD’S Doing”. Because in BJP parlance “Modi Makes No Mistakes”. Economist state 1st stage Demonetization, 2nd stage ill conceived GST and poorly implemented. 3rd stage poorly managed Macro level economic activities. D- National Security LAC – Chinese have comfortably occupied positions between fingers 4 and 8 since first weak of May – 2020. These positions have given them strategic advantage in the GALWAN VALLY. Which they (Chinese) will never vacate. Are we ready for a skirmish like Kargil ?. Snippets A- Overcome Fear – Lockdowns don’t work But many chief ministers fail to see the larger picture. - Editorial TOI, 28 July, 2020 B- Colourism and Racism. The Indian variant of colourism doesn’t automatically gatecrash into “Black Lives Matter” – Says Dipankar Gupta, TOI 29th July, 2020 C- 73 Years of Freedom – India has come quite far. But its tryst which destiny is still unrealized. In New Delhi to open a restaurant rquires 26 licences, and 45 documents to obtain clearance from the police alone; in China you need just four licenses. – Says Pawan K. Verma, TOI, 15th Aug., 2020 JAI HIND – JAI BHARAT

Political Turmoil – 07 / 2020 26, July, 2020

Friends & Critics – KARGIL DAY SPECIAL

            Some Facts of three past major, military events of the country. We shall also discuss Trust Worthy, Or Un Trust Worthy  Friends or our True Friends.

A-     1962 – famous Chinese debacle : (a) Just 10 year had passed to India’s Independence (After the first General Elections held in 1952.) WW – 2 had just ended in 1945. New global military alignments were in the offing. A new world order militarily (NATO – WARSAPACT) and separate NAM Non Alignment was being experimented. The top Indian political leadership was literally sandwiched between these three classicals. Our political leadership lead by JLN tried the old Gandhian thoughts. May be Nehru dint succeed (for the information Sardar Patel the Iron Man had died on 15 Dec. 1950).

B-     1971 – The famous Bangladesh War. : (a) The great visionary leadership of Indira Gandhi. (b) She utilized the INT agencies fully. (c) The first high jacking in 1971 was master minded by our RAW and the Pakis were held responsible. This initiated the stoppages of overflights of PAK military Aircraft from WEST to EAST. (d) Excellent equation of military and political leadership. (e) Diplomatic reach to world leaders. She Signed a 20 years military and political friendship treaty with the erstwhile USSR, and sent her other senior cabinet colleagues to other countries to make India’s position clear and known. (f)  An other example of excellent usages of int was to leak out to PAK’S that India would attack on third December. (Where as it was planned for 4^th Dec.) PAK’S were trapped and they took an offensive on 3^rd Dec. and India started pouncing them on 4^th Dec. Morning. India attained Air Superiority in first 3 days and finished the war in just 13 days (which was expected to last about 20 days).

C-     1999 – ABV (a) close the door of INT. (b) Too much of trustworthiness and expectation. (c) October 1998 INT agencies were adviset go slow on PAK because the leadership was over whelmed by February 1999 Bus Yatra. (For detail on Kargil War u may go through my post on blog : http://airmarshalashokgoel.blogspot.com/).

D-     2020 - Galwan Vally  (East of Ladakh) (a) Lacked Intelligence (b) A white paper should be circulated by the GOI. Indicating LAC as perceived by India and as dictated by Chinese (c) Position of Troops on of May 2014, Sep. 2014 (this was the first visit XI to India). Since our PM has had 12 meetings with XI in India or abroad. (d)  Position of troops as on 05 May 2020, on 05 June, 14 June. This would generate the confidence of 130 corer people of India in our top leadership.  

Trust Worthy / Un Trust Worthy or True Friends

A-    After 1962 War Americans offered massive military aid to India. What actually offered was only an organization called DGS. That is Directorate General of Security. We got three Wings ARC, SFF and SSB. They also gave us some C-46 Aircraft, The aim was (as spelt out by Americans) to capture Tibet by Airborne operations. Which remained a dream and continues to be a dream. The US have proved from Time to Time Un Trust Worthy except occasionally when Big dollar related Military Equipments is to be inducted. Only true friend has been erstwhile USSR or now RUSSIA.

JAI HIND – JAI BHARAT 

Political Turmoil – 06 / 2020 28th June 2020

  

Friends & Critics – CHOTI – CHOTI BATEIN

A-     Pandit Nehru the states man has come under biggest criticism by the ruling dispensation. Since he established democratic norms to the hilt. He gave Country a broad scientific base (Including Nuclear Power), he gave institutions comparable to the world class, he gave technical infrastructure, he gave Dams and river projects. He thought and gave IIT’s, IIM’s and AIIMS likes. If India has gone ahead so much it was mainly because of his farsightedness. An incident to quote during 1952 general elections he was addressing a public meeting Ludhiana, he had learnt that Jai Prakash Narayan, (JP) was to address a public meting at near by place after he said to the public “In Your City after Two Days JP is going to address a Public Meting, I will request you all to kindly go and attend his meting and listen to him and his thoughts” Our ruling dispensation leaders only abuse and condemn the opposition leaders.   

B-     A caution “Bhakti is Tolerable, Mahabhakti is Divisive and Andhbhakti, could prove to be DESTRUCTIVE”. Please decide your path carefully.

C-     A norm of virtual rallies is a new beginning – Captive audience, a must on TV.

D-     Our party and leadership makes no mistakes – the great defenders are Ravi Shankar Prasad and Prakash Javdekar.

E-     GDP was Crumpling then comes Madam Corono – all blame shifts to Covid – 19, says Vivek Deberoy an economist. A part of PM’s Niti Ayog – Think Tank.

Snippets

a)       The Great Rethink India backs off a lockdown strategy the elite cheered on, but the poor could not cope with says - Ruchir Sharma an Economist (TOI – 2^nd June 20).

b)      What’s Behind Chinese Intrusions? Bejing needs to save face globally. Expect a long LAC faceoff and no solution. India should reconsider the “Informal” Summit with Xi  where both sides take back very different perceived outcomes. India believes Xi understand Modi, China believes Modi kowtows to Xi. Says – Indra Bagchi (TOI – 4^nd June 20).

c)       Resetting India Ties with China. The Ladakh intrusion is an outcome of Bejing’s ambitions and insecurities, and lock of clarity on LAC.  Says –  Gen. NC Vij, former army chief (TOI – 23^rd June 20).

Political Turmoil – 05 / 2020 31st May 2020

Friends & Critics – On Covid - 19

Covid – 19 has remained a primary event throughout and now we are entering 5^th Phase of LOCKDOWN of the event, Friends the 1^st case of the Covid-19 was identified reported and taken cognizance on 30^th January 2020 in KERALA. A girl student from WUHAN had returned to her home town. However we remained silent till 24^th of march. Some salient points are discussed below :

A-     PM sir have you realized and appreciated that as and when you have addressed the Nation on electronic media it his brought misery to the poor. First example is 8^th November 2016 when you declared DEMONITISATION, a large number of poor people were adversely affected. They lost their hard earned saving even lost their lives in fighting for their legitimate expectations. Similarly now a large number of Migrants have suffered physically, financially and a good number have lost their lives.       

B-     PM Sir the delayed action can that be construed due to visit of MMDT. Friends we may call it in coincident but it has happened wherever MMDT visited that is AHAMDABAD, AGRA and DELHI are the worst affected due to Covid – 19. Like MMDT is fighting a case against China for Covid-19. I think we have full justification to file a case against MMDT in International Court of Justice against MMDT.

C-     Once again our poor and deprived and have-nots the migrant class were neglected at the initial stages, and they remained fighting for their return to their native places. To see their neglect and plight on roads and Railway Platforms was pathetic and painful. May be if they were part of the scheme at the very beginning, it was avoidable.

A few Suggestion on Migrant Labor / Workers :

a-       Divide all such personal (Specially in BIMARU States) from where they are picked up into the category unskilled, semiskilled and high skilled. They should be registered with respective state government accordingly. They should be normally assign to the demanding state and a record maintain.

b-      To avoid large scale movement it would be prudent to developed infrastructure in at least 33% of Districts to have Infrastructure of Industry to absorb them within the State. For example UP has 75 Districts 25 Districts should be Industrially Developed to absorb these Migrant with in the State. It is suggested that this formula of 33% should be equally applied to all the States from where the migrants move out.

c-       Wherever Migrants are employed the Railway pained for their Timely Movement to their native States should be like a WAR PLAN.  

d-      May be more and more regulatory mandates likely to bringing corrupt practices.

Snippets

a)       Undoubtedly our leadership Kept on taking initiatives and actions to fight Covid-19 But What has saved us most is HIGH IMUNITY Levels of our 85% of poor class. They are the people who can drink water from any sources and eat any thing from roadside DHABA’S and THELAWALA’S.

b)      Biggest suffers of CORONA are Social Activities, Travel & Tourism etc.

c)      Why Millions Defied The Lockdown – Stranded or marching, migrants have exposed  our ignorance of what poverty in today’s India means.

d)      Poverty compounds India’s CORONA suffering Govt. never fixed this core problem.

e)      MSME sector on verge of collapse says Gadkari.

f)       MMDT Says reopening may cause deaths, but can’t be sitting at home for 3 years – A logic by the Top leader of the would.  

JAI HIND – JAI BHARAT