Political Turmoil – 06 / 2020 28th June 2020

  

Friends & Critics – CHOTI – CHOTI BATEIN

A-     Pandit Nehru the states man has come under biggest criticism by the ruling dispensation. Since he established democratic norms to the hilt. He gave Country a broad scientific base (Including Nuclear Power), he gave institutions comparable to the world class, he gave technical infrastructure, he gave Dams and river projects. He thought and gave IIT’s, IIM’s and AIIMS likes. If India has gone ahead so much it was mainly because of his farsightedness. An incident to quote during 1952 general elections he was addressing a public meeting Ludhiana, he had learnt that Jai Prakash Narayan, (JP) was to address a public meting at near by place after he said to the public “In Your City after Two Days JP is going to address a Public Meting, I will request you all to kindly go and attend his meting and listen to him and his thoughts” Our ruling dispensation leaders only abuse and condemn the opposition leaders.   

B-     A caution “Bhakti is Tolerable, Mahabhakti is Divisive and Andhbhakti, could prove to be DESTRUCTIVE”. Please decide your path carefully.

C-     A norm of virtual rallies is a new beginning – Captive audience, a must on TV.

D-     Our party and leadership makes no mistakes – the great defenders are Ravi Shankar Prasad and Prakash Javdekar.

E-     GDP was Crumpling then comes Madam Corono – all blame shifts to Covid – 19, says Vivek Deberoy an economist. A part of PM’s Niti Ayog – Think Tank.

Snippets

a)       The Great Rethink India backs off a lockdown strategy the elite cheered on, but the poor could not cope with says - Ruchir Sharma an Economist (TOI – 2^nd June 20).

b)      What’s Behind Chinese Intrusions? Bejing needs to save face globally. Expect a long LAC faceoff and no solution. India should reconsider the “Informal” Summit with Xi  where both sides take back very different perceived outcomes. India believes Xi understand Modi, China believes Modi kowtows to Xi. Says – Indra Bagchi (TOI – 4^nd June 20).

c)       Resetting India Ties with China. The Ladakh intrusion is an outcome of Bejing’s ambitions and insecurities, and lock of clarity on LAC.  Says –  Gen. NC Vij, former army chief (TOI – 23^rd June 20).

Political Turmoil – 05 / 2020 31st May 2020

Friends & Critics – On Covid - 19

Covid – 19 has remained a primary event throughout and now we are entering 5^th Phase of LOCKDOWN of the event, Friends the 1^st case of the Covid-19 was identified reported and taken cognizance on 30^th January 2020 in KERALA. A girl student from WUHAN had returned to her home town. However we remained silent till 24^th of march. Some salient points are discussed below :

A-     PM sir have you realized and appreciated that as and when you have addressed the Nation on electronic media it his brought misery to the poor. First example is 8^th November 2016 when you declared DEMONITISATION, a large number of poor people were adversely affected. They lost their hard earned saving even lost their lives in fighting for their legitimate expectations. Similarly now a large number of Migrants have suffered physically, financially and a good number have lost their lives.       

B-     PM Sir the delayed action can that be construed due to visit of MMDT. Friends we may call it in coincident but it has happened wherever MMDT visited that is AHAMDABAD, AGRA and DELHI are the worst affected due to Covid – 19. Like MMDT is fighting a case against China for Covid-19. I think we have full justification to file a case against MMDT in International Court of Justice against MMDT.

C-     Once again our poor and deprived and have-nots the migrant class were neglected at the initial stages, and they remained fighting for their return to their native places. To see their neglect and plight on roads and Railway Platforms was pathetic and painful. May be if they were part of the scheme at the very beginning, it was avoidable.

A few Suggestion on Migrant Labor / Workers :

a-       Divide all such personal (Specially in BIMARU States) from where they are picked up into the category unskilled, semiskilled and high skilled. They should be registered with respective state government accordingly. They should be normally assign to the demanding state and a record maintain.

b-      To avoid large scale movement it would be prudent to developed infrastructure in at least 33% of Districts to have Infrastructure of Industry to absorb them within the State. For example UP has 75 Districts 25 Districts should be Industrially Developed to absorb these Migrant with in the State. It is suggested that this formula of 33% should be equally applied to all the States from where the migrants move out.

c-       Wherever Migrants are employed the Railway pained for their Timely Movement to their native States should be like a WAR PLAN.  

d-      May be more and more regulatory mandates likely to bringing corrupt practices.

Snippets

a)       Undoubtedly our leadership Kept on taking initiatives and actions to fight Covid-19 But What has saved us most is HIGH IMUNITY Levels of our 85% of poor class. They are the people who can drink water from any sources and eat any thing from roadside DHABA’S and THELAWALA’S.

b)      Biggest suffers of CORONA are Social Activities, Travel & Tourism etc.

c)      Why Millions Defied The Lockdown – Stranded or marching, migrants have exposed  our ignorance of what poverty in today’s India means.

d)      Poverty compounds India’s CORONA suffering Govt. never fixed this core problem.

e)      MSME sector on verge of collapse says Gadkari.

f)       MMDT Says reopening may cause deaths, but can’t be sitting at home for 3 years – A logic by the Top leader of the would.  

JAI HIND – JAI BHARAT

Political Turmoil – 04 / 2020 26 April - 2020

Friends & Critics – On Convid - 19

An analysis – Background Information. During 2004 General Elections A political party had given a call “India Shining” A Economic Survey group of Mumbai carried out study, the result indicated that India can be sub divided :

A-    Club Class Economy - 3% Population. Which can be sub divided   (a)- Ultra Rich   (b) Mediocre Rich   (c)  Moderately Rich 

B-     Cycle Class Economy - 12% Population. That is middle class. Can be further divided into            (a) Upper Middle Class  (b) Middle class  (c) Lower Middle Class  

C-     Bullock Cart Economy – That is 85%. In that are poor, very poor, and bellow poverty line.

Often it is stated that high IMMUNITY is one of the reasons that keeps the individuals away from such sickness or pandemic. That class of people in Bullock Cart Economy maintain a very high level of immunity. They don’t depend on filter water or sophisticated eating joints. They eat at road side Thelas and have their tea from such road side Thelas. When it comes to drinking water they can drink from any hand pump or road side availability. Hence this class of nearly 90% of our population is with high IMMUNITY. That is the reason India has kept at the lower spectrum of Corona Virus – 19.  

We should not forget that in our country 3000 children die of malnutrition (below 5 years of age) and 500 people are killed every day in road accidents. Besides Diabetes, Cancer, Cardiac Arrest, Asthma etc. We should improve upon our medical infrastructure to save our small children from malnutrition and further go up in the ladder.

Undoubtedly supported by many systems we have so far kept the dreaded Covid – 19 well under control tc dkj.k gh ugh irk rks mldk fuokj.k dSlkA

An Appeal :- Govt., Govt Agencies, Media, Modi Media, have crated enough scare on Covid-19. Now is the time to lift all Curbs and restrictions impose, and let people live their life. Govt. should concern treat on better facilities, nedical up gradation and accelerate the process of inventing vaccine for the Covid-19.

Snippets

a)      What Corona Shows Investment in public health will pay for themselves many times over.

b)      The Current World Disorder – for the post Coronavirus World, we will need to reinvent multilateralism Says – Indrani Bagchi.

c)      Hunger Or Disease ? – Emerging nations face an awful choice as it’s nearly impossible to socially distance and get food. Says – Ruchir Sharma an Economist

JAI HIND – JAI BHARAT 

Political Turmoil – 03 / 2020 29, March, 2020

Friends & Critics Some Comments

PM Modi Sir you always talked about good governance and less of government some of the thought provoking indicators are :

a)      Your all ideologies are governed by your ideologues and think tank the RSS. All your appointments are dictated and approved by your supreme body the RSS.

b)      The Rioters in Delhi were handled by you and your most trusted HM on the lines of Gujrat.

c)      The right and wrong lessons of Shaheen Bagh – your clam of good governance was shattered yet again by Delhi’s riots.

d)      After Delhi violence, Muslims in India fear. What’s next ? – Stated in Time Magazine March – 23^rd.

e)      Blind nationalism not good for India – says Baba Ramdev.

Corona Virus (Covid-19) :

Undoubtedly you as the PM initiated some bold actions for which the whole Nation a supportive and cooperative. However some observation   

(a)                First Case in India was reported on 30^th January 2020 if the actions had been initiated earlier, say by 15^th February 2020 may be we would have been better placed.

(b)                             Movement of migrant laborers should have been anticipated planned in a systematic manner.   

JAI HIND – JAI BHARAT 

Political Turmoil – 02 / 2020 16, February, 2020

Friends & Critics Some Comments

A)    CAA impacts different sections of Indians negatively. Opposition parties’ task is to bring them together. - It is not so obvious that all Indians citizens have citizenship papers and proof of residencies. Shah’s promise to make NRC following the very failed experience in Assam, only makes for a situation where the poorest of the Indian poor are losing their citizenship. - SAYS ATREY D BHARGAVA a- Prof. of Economics.

B)     In 2020, Put people First. Protesters are not urban naxals. Government needs to listen to them. Importantly, the parliamentary committee on Vajpayee’s Citizenship Bill was headed by Congressman Pranab Mukherjee and there was political negotiation and consultation across party lines and across ideological divides. – Says Sagarika Ghose a senior journalist.

C)     Don’t Polarise By Religion. Authorities must listen to the secular and inclusive message coming from anti CAA-NRC protesters. – Says Pavan K Varma Former M.P. a thinker and writer of repute.

D)    Why NRC Must Be shelved. It will be an expensive, Gargantuan, pointless exercise that could trigger civil war in the worst case. – Says Chetan Bhagat a thinker and writer of repute.  

Delhi Elections

The recently held elections in Delhi were fought under most acrimonious political environment. For which the ruling dispensation at the centre is responsible.

SUPER DIRECTORS – MO-SHA       

MIDDLE LEVEL DIRECTORS – GIRI RAJ SINGH, VIJAY VARGEYA

PERFORMERS – Parvesh Verma (S/o former delhi CM Sahib Singh Verma), Anurag Thakur (S/o Former CM Prem Kumar Dhumal, Himachal Pradesh)., Kapil Mishra A BJP candidate for Model Town, Delhi

Basic Agenda and guidelines were prepared at BJP head quarters. 300 MP’s and Majority of Central Minister’s, Participated in the election campaign. A few selected CM’s of BJP ruled states, most significantly YogiJi from U.P., Intention being to polarize the happenings in the elections. An advise to the ruling dispensation “Get Rid of GANE BAJANE WALA’s and PUJARIES of TEMPLES to be More realistic and offer a LEVEL PLAYING FIELD.

JAI HIND – JAI BHARAT

Political Turmoil – 01 / 2020 19 January 2020

Friends & Critics                                                              

MO-SHA :- You have been very active brought in      (a) – Teen Talaq,         (b) – Abrogation & 35-A in J&K (Literally decimation of J&K from a full status of a State to a UT)         (c)- You succeeded in the battle of RAM MANDIR and you are in the process of Bringing in SCARY – CAA, NRC and NPR.

Highly appreciated but you have completely missed out         (a) Rising Inflation       (b) Farmers Crises       (c) High Rate of Unemployment .

THIS IS HOW A SENIOR AND WELL KNOWN ECONOMIST EXPLAINS – (SWAMINATHAN S AIYAR)

“ Sliding economy needs serious structural fixes  - When Narendra Modi was re-elected, optimists expected GDP growth to accelerate to 8%. Alas, it is plummeting towards 4% having fallen steadily in the last four quarters – 7%, 6.8%, 5.6% and 5%.

Expect a further fall to almost 4% when the July-September figures come out. The Index of Industrial production was minus 4.3% in September, the worst in a decade, with 17 of 23 industrial categories recording declines. Capital goods output (representing fresh investment declined 20.7%, GDP growth is approaching the 3.9% low of the Great Recession of 2008-09).

One reason is cyclical. The slowing world economy is pulling India down too. But India also has serious structural flaws that will not mend easily, Unless mended, the new growth normal for India may be closer to 5% than the “miracle economy” benchmark of 7%. Former chief economic adviser Arvind Subramanian once theorized that statistical flaws were inflating official GDP growth by 2.5%. He said the distinct slowdown after 2011- an later in four Indicators- exports, imports, electricity and credit growth – suggested GDP growth was between 3.5% and 5.5%, far lower than the official 7%.

In the short run, there is a case for fiscal stimulus. The fiscal deficit can be allowed to rise to anything up to 4% for this year. But history shows how difficult it is to end a stimulus, so caution is needed on this front, In any event we need to focus more on the long-term than short-term issues. Otherwise the days of miracle 7% growth will be over.

Snippets

A-    A Lutyens Bubble- Becoming a $ 5 trillion economy in five years needs us growing at 14% every year.  Says Kanti Bajpai.

B-     A BJP Neta in anger stated “MODI JI IS A GREAT ORATOR BUT HE IS NOT AN ECONOMIST – HE IS ONLY A PHENKUNOMIST”

Wake up India.

PM Modi – 05 (2/2019) 10, November, 2019

Friends & Critics                                                              

One hundred and Five Days have lapsed since article 370 was abrogated ! Since then what has happened ? An extract of an article published in Time Magazine of November issue is narrated below.

Kashmir Simmers Between Dueling Nuclear Powers, Crown of India Is Dismembered

It was on August 5, that PM Modi’s Hindu Nationalist Govt. said it would scrap the semiautonomous status that the state of J&K has held under India’s Constitution for Seven Decades part of J&K endured a communication black out and other distractions. 9-10 million people were pushed behind the iron wall. We had never seen anything like this, “Says Anuradha Bhaseen executive editor of Kashmir Times.

If the heavy – handed measures of the curfew were intended to dampen the threat of violence, they succeeded – at least for a time but now that India has begun lifting restrictions on the velley, Kashmiris are bracing for what happens once the clampdown is over. Over the past three decades, Pakistan has backed and funded insurgents in Kashmir where India has responded with troops and brutal measures. A U.N. report in July noted serious abuses by India forces, including extra-judicial killings, torture and pellet-gun blindings. New Delhi dismissed the report as a “false and motivated narrative” (During the recent visit German Chancellor was Critical of happenings in Kashmir- and stated – Unsustainable. Similar Views have been expressed by the head of the Finland Govt. – Both Highly Democratic Countries.)

But while the rhetoric on both side remains hostile, Pakistan can ill afford a full-scale conflict. On October 18 the financial action task force, the global terrorism – finance watch dog, ruled Pakistan would stay on its GREYLIST.

A greater security risk seems to be the anger and resentment simmering within the Valley. Nearly 4,000 people, including politicians, activities and journalists, have been arrested, according to a Sept. 6 Government report seen by Reuters said thousand remain in custody. On Sept. 24, the National Federation of Indian Women highlighted claims that 13,000 boys had been picked up and detained, some for up to 45 days.

On Oct. 11, State government took out a full-page ad on the front page of the newspaper Greater Kashmir. “ ClOSED SHOPS, NO PUBLIC TRANSPORT? WHO BENEFITS?

Snippets

A-    “Government can’t reverse its decision on Article 370… But they must immediately restore the status to a full-fledged state” – says Moosa Raza – Former Chief Secretary of J&K

B-     124 A: Has British Raj Returned? How 21^st century Indian governments have become macaualy’s best disciples. – In the year that we are celebrating the 150^th birth anniversary of Mahatma Gandhi with so much fanfare, this growing intolerance to criticism is deeply saddening. – says Pawan K. Verma (A JDU Leader an ally of the NDA)

Wake up India.