Thursday, September 8, 2011

On National Security

“As I Saw It”
“On National Security”

Brig Gurmeet Kanwal has lamented once again on certain old issue “Big Chinks on our security armour”. (An article published in TOI on 24 July 2011)He starts with Subramanium committee report after “Kargil conflict of 1999.

Big chinks in our security armour

I quote Brig Gurmeet Kanwal on certain issues which he considers relevant.
“An issue that needs no further debate is the appointment of a Chief of Defence Staff as the principal military adviser to the government. It is an idea whose time has come. However, the appointment of CDS should be followed by the establishment of tri-service integrated theatre commands for greater synergy in the planning and execution of military operations and aid to civil authority. Another key requirement is for the immediate raising of an integrated cyber, aerospace and Special Forces command.
The task force must also consider whether it is necessary to appoint a National Security Commission to oversee the day-to-day management of national security in this era of strategic uncertainty and threats”.
I had written an article on facts in Kargil at that time. And later also to elaborate certain issue-not known normally. I am again attaching the article for reference.
The issues brought out creation of IDS, NTRO, and creating other security related organizations don’t make the systems more efficient and effective. As far as NTRO is concerned, ARC was already there: we should have revamped ARC further. By creating more and more parallel organization we only dilute the effectiveness of already existing org.
I remember having attended one lecture by renowed ICS officer Shri AN Jha. He had stated we should have a “Plan Holiday” (referring to five year plans) and not announce new schemes but we should aims optimization of our already existing organizations and schemes. Same applies for the “Armed Forces”.
Creation of Strategic force command was an operational imperative. Creation of Inter services A & N Command on an experimental basis was also an operational necessity.
Brig Kanwal has once again lamented on creation of an institution of CDS. We have three chiefs of the armed forces. Three some becomes a much more powerful instrument to influence decision making at the political & national level. Only one individual at the apex level may not be rightful. Rather we saw the voice of three service chiefs more powerful in the implementation of the 6th pay commission. Three professional’s are more powerful to represent and advice the Govt. All three services chiefs should be the part of NSC. (National Security Commission) as and when created.
A CDS could be easily mollified and may finally result as a puppet to the Govt. Looking forward to some political gain.
As far as the synergy understanding, cooperation is concerned we have not found it lacking. We saw IPKF, Maladives, Kargil as the recent happenings (20 years hence) Bangladesh was another exceptional example of our synergy and professionalism (40 years hence). We have not gained much even by creating CIDS (except some more senior ranks) CDS would be no exception.

Heroes of self determination

As I Saw It


Heroes of self determination

MS DHONI

A very ordinary boy of average family of small city Ranchi of Jharkhand, Mahendra Singh Dhoni’s name was on few finger tips prior his shining as star in India cricket. His own contribution based on his labour, effort, passion towards the game, superseded his livelihood of ordinary job of TTC in Railways. Now setting an example of his personality through cricket to be included in 100 popular personalities of the world being placed on No 52 (Time Magazine 2010) leaving Obama (President of US) behind on 73. This is for the first time that any sportsman of such a small town has reached to this stage wherein only few big cities like Chennai, Calcutta, Bangalore, and Delhi were earlier on the list in this field. Now Dhoni is the pride of India as one of the best Cricket captains ever before.

ANNA HAZARE

Anna Hazare 73, a bachelor belonging to a interior backward village “Relgaon sidhi”, served as a army Jawan (1963-1978) settled down 80 km from Pune. He not only fought against liquor but initiated reform (population, poverty and pollution) in social, economic and civic field to convert a backward village to a model one. While the Govt. schemes for upliftment could not even touch the border line of the rural areas. Now revolutionary courage of Anna against corruption, the central govt. had to accept the necessity to bring in the “Lokpal Bill” in the Parliament and again in 1975.

Similar revolutionary agitation was started in 1970 by Jai Prakash Narain with special reference to political reform, administrative reform and police reform, resulting massive national uprise, political upheaval, changed the political demography. But the time passed and the followers forgotten the mission of JP by involving themselves in self upliftment suppressing/ leaving behind the national cry.

Comment

Now as a responsible citizen we need Anna Hazare in every locality. One of the important causes of corruption is overpopulation due to which work in demand is less than the availability of workers, which gives room to corruption.

Common feature of Corruption within us

Black money in home deals/ capitation fee, bribing for school admission/bribing for illegal driving license and now even a pilot license, avoiding paying income tax and many more.

Anna Hazare has boosted the courage in the masses to fight against corruption.

Anand Kumar- Super 30 belongs to rural area nearby Patna

Initially started his carrier by coaching to only 3-4 students of weak socialbackground and lead them to place in reputed position in the society. He started preparing students for IIT in 2002 in the name of super 30. In first batch of 30 students 18 were selected in IIT. In 2nd batch 22 out of 30 and in 3rd batch all the 30 were selected for IIT. Now the batch has been increased to number 90 with maintaining result to almost 100 percent. His simplicity and self confidence urge within him, created special power. His aim, passion, honest approach, hard and sincere work, risk taking ability, contributing to benefit others and enjoying the success of others. Anand Kumar stood as a boon to the society of neglected ones and now as a shining star.


At present he is a global personality and many countries like Japan, England, and Italy etc have known his caliber. Their representatives visited India to contact Anand Kumar. BBC had special broadcast about his specific thought for such a monarchial social upliftment. His personality development can be well estimated seeing his name in focus magazine of Italy, the only Indian to be included among 100 dignitaries of the world who have impacted the society.


Chhavi Rajawat- belongs to a village Soda 60 km from Jaipur

A charming and model type well educated girl (MA, English and MBA) holding a reputed post in Airtel, decided to improve the backward rural area where she belongs to. Due to her commitment with herself, she left the job and got elected to be the Sarpanch, in panchyat elections. She gracefully and challengefully started doing the reform in respect of social, civic and economic field. She has taken up the problem of basic requirement i.e.. water, toilets, neatness, schools and jobs. She is quite hopeful that she will transform her village in the list of best model village having all the facilities which town/city enjoys. She does not want money she wants people and organizations to adopt projects. She represented India at UN and addressed the session on poverty alleviation”. She displayed confidence of changing the face of her village in next 3 years (By end of 2013.)

If such feelings prevailed and efforts took place 250000 panchyat will definitely be on the global map to taking care of about 12 lac villages of the India. The Govt could not do even after 65 years of independence.

Note: Extracts from the lecture delivered on a seminar/convocation on 30 April - 01 May 2011 at one of the management colleges at Pune.

An Open Letter to Shri Anna Hazare

Air Marshal Ashok Goel (Retd.)
PVSM AVSM VM
11, Silver State, Pilibhit Byepass Road,
Bareilly-243005 (U.P.) INDIA
Tel:-0581-2526650,
Mob: 9411900090, 09999722636
Email-amashokgoel@gmail.com

“As I Saw it”

An Open Letter to Shri Anna Hazare
India Against Corruption
20 August 2011
Dear Shri Anna Ji,
Sadar Pranam,


1. I write this letter to you with high sense of appreciation and deep anguish & pain.

2. We both belong to the same class. You served the Indian Army for 15 yrs (1963-1978) and I served the Indian Air Force for 40 yrs (1963-2003). You have been a social crusader since you left the army and brought dramatic social transformation in the life of the people of your village “Ralegaon Sidhi”. I have been working voluntarily as a “Social Entrepreneur” for the empowerment of mentally challenged & other disabilities through medium of games & music. And also for the welfare of ex-servicemen.

3. Your crusade against corruption is legitimate and praise worthy.

But let us look at the problem (corruption) more holistically.
This (corruption) is not a “Stand Alone” problem. While delivering a National Security lecture in the yr 2001 I had probed on the subject “What ails this county” (India). I had coined an algebraic formula. P-3, C-5. P-3 is at National level and C-5 is at Political level.



P-3 at National level:-
 Population
 Poverty
 Pollution

C-5 is at Political level:-
 Casteism in politics
 Communalism in politics
 Criminalization of politics
 Corruption in politics
 Compromises in coalition in politics

Corruption is a fallout of these ailments and many more.
I shall be brief on

4. Population:-
in 2011, 1.25 Billion (125 Crore)
in 2025, 1.40 Billion (140 Crore)
in 2050, 1.60 Billion (160 Crore)

By the end of the century we would have 2.0 billion (200 Crore) people. We occupy just 2 % of land mass and nearly 18% of population (as of now) by the end of this century we would be nearly 25 % of the total world population. We are facing population explosion, which is disturbing demand and supply equation, impatience / anger / unemployment / lack of opportunities are on the increase. Massive crowds of youth represent that.

5. Every country man is corrupt in some way or the other.
a. Purchase & sale of property (Home and land) :- transactions take place in unaccounted money (Black money) to the tune of 20% to 60% to evade tax, registry charges. The registration department is fully aware of this. They demand and receive gratification, because the individuals have faltered.

b. Power:-Globally T&D losses (transmission & Distribution losses) are 2 %. Once upon a time Maharashtra was considered to be the best managed and T & D losses were 8%. In the state of UP T & D losses are 60 %. Common citizens thieve the power by unfair, means in connivance with the departmental people. The department people collect gratification on these weaknesses.

c. UP Govt.:- Most corrupt political outfit in the country. More than ten ministers of the state are behind bar – (for murders, planned murders, rapes attempted rapes). Of the remaing (ruling party and some others) more than half are recorded criminals. A substantial amount (in crores) is collected from each of the 72 districts of the state to fill up the coffers of the ruling political outfit. You wanted permission to hold meetings in UP, in the month of June. Fearing you could have fuelled the fire in the state, you were denied this permission. But see the apathy the same political out fit is supporting you, and supporting Justice Sen in the parliament.

6. Unfortunately your methodology has given larger space to castiest and communal forces. Both are divisive and spread hatred and anger in the society. Your civil society members have only talked about Fundamental Rights. We have some Fundamental Duties also enshrined in our constitution. We should strike a balance between Fundamental Rights / Fundamental Duties. One sided approach would result in weakening of our well established democratic institutions.

7. Politics:-
Over all decline in standards of poliety due to reasons mentioned

 Political reform:- We have more than 600 political parties registered with the Election Commission. An individual elected just represents 10% to 25% of the people. We need to consider a change.

 Electoral reform:- There is no taboo on criminals to contest elections. If a person is charged with the kind of murder abetment to murder, rape attempt to rape embezzlement, he should be debarred to contest election, till proved not guilty.

 Judicial reform & business reform.
 Administrative reform
 Police reform

List could be long.

8. I appreciate your concern to route out corruption from the system. I am also over whelmed by the support to this call.
I once again reiterate, “to route out corruption,” can not a “Stand Alone” movement. To route out corruption in totality we all have to be well aware and concerned of the contributing factors.

9. Respected Anna ji, I shall request you to kindly issue an appeal to the fellow Indians.

a. Firstly:- Follow a small family norm, preferably one child But certainly not more than two. Exploding population is a greatest danger for our country.

b. Secondly:- Exercise your voting right. Elect only honest and secular candidates. Do not elect tainted and criminals.

c. Thirdly :- Be a responsible citizen – contribute to nation building. Even if you are on agitation do not cause damage & destruction of private and public property (This you did emphasizes in your on going agitation). Be a disciplined citizen in every facet of life.

d. Fourthly :- Not only exercise your fundamental rights, the duties of a citizen as enshrined in the constitution of India should be part of our daily life.

e. Fifthly :- Do not indulge in to corrupt practices as an individual.

Ask not what country can do for you, but ask what you can do for your county :- Words of President of USA Mr. John Kenndey

Gandhi was a democratic leader and believed in dialogue. You apparently are following gandhian path. Respected Anna ji do not be a yksdrkaf=d rkuk”kkg (Democratic Dictator). Fallow Gandhi ji.

Jawan’s & Kissan’s are the ultimate hope of this country.

Tk; toku] t; fdlku] ;s gS ns”k dh “kku!
;s nsa lsok] lqj{kk vkSj lEeku] bu lcdks gS esjk lykeA

Jai hind, Jai Bharat.



Air Marshal Ashok Goel (Retd.)

Tuesday, February 1, 2011

Message for Delhi in Arab winds of change

11 Silver Estate,
Pilibhit Bypass Road,
PO Rohilkhand University
Bareilly-243006 (U.P.)
amashokgoel@gmail.com

Air Marshal Ashok K. Goel (Retd.)
PVSM AVSM VM


Message for Delhi in Arab winds of change
SHAUN GREGORY
(Dean at Breadford University, UK)

From Morocco to Pakistan and from Syria to Indonesia, the Islamic world is struggling with modernity.
Most of Islamic world is ruled by unrepresentative elites, whose power flows not from democratic legitimacy but from repressive militaries and intelligence agencies.
The Future-of –the-Global Muslim-Population.aspx projects that the global Muslim population will grow 35% in the next 20 years, with much of that growth in Asia.
This is why India has to look at Tunis, Cairo, Algiers and Sa’na and ask what the lessons are. Above all, it has to ask what the implications are for those parts of the Indian polity where Muslim/non Muslim fissures are most exposed. This means places like Kashmir. It is not to question Kashmir’s place as part of India, or to cede a square inch of ground to terrorism or to Pakistani interference, but to ask a deeper question about the relationship of ordinary Kashmiri Muslims to the Indian state. Do ordinary Kashmiri Muslims experience the Indian state as a guarantor-or at least as an agent-of political freedom, justice, and economic and social security or do they experience it as repressive power? To the extent the answer is the latter, the challenge for India is to find ways to move to the former.
Extracts from an article published in TOI dated 30 Jan 2011

Observations & Comments

The happenings in Egypt are serious and alarming. Should send signals to our politicians, social activist and to social reformers.
(a) Muslim population in presently 23.6% globally. Likely to reach 35% in next 20 years.
(b) Pakistan would become the largest Muslim country in the next 20 years (leaving behind Indonesia)
(c) Muslim majority state of J & K is yet to be fully integrated with India.
A thought:
 Our politicians should stop playing politics all the time in the state of J & K.
 The role of main opposition party in J& K has been communal, destructive and disruptive. They have only succeeded in separating Jammu (a Hindu dominated area) with the valley ( a Muslim dominated area)
 This was clearly evident when they had created a blockade for the movement of essential supplies from Jammu to valley (during agitation on land allotment for Amarnath Yatra)
 The recent Lalchowk episode and earlier blockade strengthened the cause and voice of the antinational elements.
 An appeal to politicians, evolve a system of consensus on major security, economic, foreign policy issues, to see the country moving ahead rather than working towards, gaining political leverage and advantage all times.

Tuesday, January 18, 2011

Transforming India - 5 (Catch me if you can?)

11 Silver Estate,
Pilibhit Bypass Road,
PO Rohilkhand University
Bareilly-243006 (U.P.)
amashokgoel@gmail.com

Air Marshal Ashok K. Goel (Retd.)
PVSM AVSM VM


Catch me if you can?
China – India, Economic & Socio – Economic Factors

Economic/Social Factor Unit of measure China India
Total Area (out of which water) Million of sq km 9.60 (2.8%) 3.29 (9.5%)
Railway-length In km ‘000 75.44 63.23
Roadways- Proved/unpaved In km ‘000 1,515/354 1.604/1,800
Natural Gas-Proved/Reserves In billion cu m 2,503 1,056
Airports-Total/paved/unpaved numbers 467/403/64 346/250/96
Food grain production million tons/year 418 210
Crude Oil production million tons/year 180 40
Electricity generated Billions of Kilowatts 3,256 630
Transmission & distribution losses as % of total power 6.8 23.4
TV sets in households millions 600 100
Mobile/cellular phones millions 461 240
Internet users millions 162 51
Tourist Arrivals millions/year 87 6
TV Broadcast stations numbers 3240 562
Forex Reserves (China+Hong Kong) US$ billion 1493+153= 1,646 314
Population millions 1,330 1,148
Population increase per year millions 8.9 15.3
Birth rate Numbers per 1000 13.71 22.22
Per Capita income US$ per year/person 2,420 950
Population Growth Rate % of population 0.59 1.61
Fertility Rate children/woman 1.77 2.76
Literacy Rate- Defined as age 15 and over Can read & write - % of Pop 91 61



Our India Series VI

Transforming India - 4 (Difference between poor & rich)

11 Silver Estate,
Pilibhit Bypass Road,
PO Rohilkhand University
Bareilly-243006 (U.P.)
amashokgoel@gmail.com

Air Marshal Ashok K. Goel (Retd.)
PVSM AVSM VM

Difference between Poor & Rich
1. The difference between the poor countries and the rich one is not the age of the country.
2. Countries like India and Egypt, which are more than 2000 years old and are still poor.
3. On the other hand, Canada, Australia and New Zealand, were unknown 100 years ago, and
today they are developed and rich.
4. On analyzing the behaviour of the people in rich and developed countries, we find that the
vast majority follow the following principles in their lives:

a. Ethics, as a basic principle
b. Integrity
c. Responsibility
d. Respect to the laws and rules of the land
e. Respect to the rights of other citizens
f. loving their work
g. Strive for saving and investment
h. Will to be of superior action
i. Punctuality at work and play

5. In poor countries, only a minority follow these basic principles in their daily life.
6. We are not poor because we lack natural resources or because natural is cruel to us.
7. We are poor because we lack attitude. (of being responsible citizen)
8. We lack the will to comply with teach these functional principles of the rich and developed
societies.

Amazing Maths !
If:
A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Z Y Z
Is represented as:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
Then:
K – N – O – W – L – E – D – G - E
11 + 14 + 15 + 23 + 12 + 5 + 4 + 7 + 5 = 96%
And:
H – A – R – D – W – O – R - K
8 + 1 + 18 + 4 + 23 + 15 + 18 + 11 = 98%
But:
A– T – I – T – U – D – E
1 + 20 + 20 + 9 + 21 + 4 + 5 = 100%
Our India Series V

Transforming India - 3 (That must be diffused )

11 Silver Estate,
Pilibhit Bypass Road,
PO Rohilkhand University
Bareilly-243006 (U.P.)
amashokgoel@gmail.com

Air Marshal Ashok K. Goel (Retd.)
PVSM AVSM VM


That must be diffused
The population BOMB
1. India’s Population Policy- much to catch up and learn from others!
India has 1, 200 million people. Chins has 1,314 million. Nearly 27 million are born every year in India and ONLY 15 million in China. China has had a more effective population policy than India, although they started in 1970. India’s population policy started much earlier, in 1952. By 2045, (now expected by 2025) we shall overtake the Chinese population, with an India population of 1,550 million! Life expectancy in China is now 74 years vs 68 years in India. In China the average family size is 3.63 members. In India it is much higher, with 5.52 members.
2. Percentage of people below poverty line. China and India
We fail to understood the fact why some thinkers and leaders in India, mention that our population is our strength. How can they make such statements, with so much poverty, illiteracy and a low standard of living? It’s a nightmare for the poor in India!
3. India’s economic parameters- the simple truth!
India has 17% of the world’s population, 2.2% of the land area, 1.72% of the world’s GDP and only 1% of the world trade. This means that 98.27% of the World’s GDP [Buying Power] and 99% of the world’s trade is not with India! India must plan larger exports, for increasing the standard of living of its people.
4. Adjustment for population increase The hard facts!
It the GDP grows by 9.2% per year, as in 2006-2007, the per capita does not grow at 9.2%. It is reduced due to the yearly population increase, and due to inflation and other issues. Therefore the final per capita increase would be much lesser. This is only, one of the disadvantages, of ballooning population.


Our India Series IV