11 Silver Estate,
Pilibhit Bypass Road,
PO Rohilkhand University
Bareilly-243006 (U.P.)
amashokgoel@gmail.com
Air Marshal Ashok K. Goel (Retd.)
PVSM AVSM VM
Catch me if you can?
China – India, Economic & Socio – Economic Factors
Economic/Social Factor Unit of measure China India
Total Area (out of which water) Million of sq km 9.60 (2.8%) 3.29 (9.5%)
Railway-length In km ‘000 75.44 63.23
Roadways- Proved/unpaved In km ‘000 1,515/354 1.604/1,800
Natural Gas-Proved/Reserves In billion cu m 2,503 1,056
Airports-Total/paved/unpaved numbers 467/403/64 346/250/96
Food grain production million tons/year 418 210
Crude Oil production million tons/year 180 40
Electricity generated Billions of Kilowatts 3,256 630
Transmission & distribution losses as % of total power 6.8 23.4
TV sets in households millions 600 100
Mobile/cellular phones millions 461 240
Internet users millions 162 51
Tourist Arrivals millions/year 87 6
TV Broadcast stations numbers 3240 562
Forex Reserves (China+Hong Kong) US$ billion 1493+153= 1,646 314
Population millions 1,330 1,148
Population increase per year millions 8.9 15.3
Birth rate Numbers per 1000 13.71 22.22
Per Capita income US$ per year/person 2,420 950
Population Growth Rate % of population 0.59 1.61
Fertility Rate children/woman 1.77 2.76
Literacy Rate- Defined as age 15 and over Can read & write - % of Pop 91 61
Our India Series VI
Tuesday, January 18, 2011
Transforming India - 4 (Difference between poor & rich)
11 Silver Estate,
Pilibhit Bypass Road,
PO Rohilkhand University
Bareilly-243006 (U.P.)
amashokgoel@gmail.com
Air Marshal Ashok K. Goel (Retd.)
PVSM AVSM VM
Difference between Poor & Rich
1. The difference between the poor countries and the rich one is not the age of the country.
2. Countries like India and Egypt, which are more than 2000 years old and are still poor.
3. On the other hand, Canada, Australia and New Zealand, were unknown 100 years ago, and
today they are developed and rich.
4. On analyzing the behaviour of the people in rich and developed countries, we find that the
vast majority follow the following principles in their lives:
a. Ethics, as a basic principle
b. Integrity
c. Responsibility
d. Respect to the laws and rules of the land
e. Respect to the rights of other citizens
f. loving their work
g. Strive for saving and investment
h. Will to be of superior action
i. Punctuality at work and play
5. In poor countries, only a minority follow these basic principles in their daily life.
6. We are not poor because we lack natural resources or because natural is cruel to us.
7. We are poor because we lack attitude. (of being responsible citizen)
8. We lack the will to comply with teach these functional principles of the rich and developed
societies.
Amazing Maths !
If:
A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Z Y Z
Is represented as:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
Then:
K – N – O – W – L – E – D – G - E
11 + 14 + 15 + 23 + 12 + 5 + 4 + 7 + 5 = 96%
And:
H – A – R – D – W – O – R - K
8 + 1 + 18 + 4 + 23 + 15 + 18 + 11 = 98%
But:
A– T – I – T – U – D – E
1 + 20 + 20 + 9 + 21 + 4 + 5 = 100%
Our India Series V
Pilibhit Bypass Road,
PO Rohilkhand University
Bareilly-243006 (U.P.)
amashokgoel@gmail.com
Air Marshal Ashok K. Goel (Retd.)
PVSM AVSM VM
Difference between Poor & Rich
1. The difference between the poor countries and the rich one is not the age of the country.
2. Countries like India and Egypt, which are more than 2000 years old and are still poor.
3. On the other hand, Canada, Australia and New Zealand, were unknown 100 years ago, and
today they are developed and rich.
4. On analyzing the behaviour of the people in rich and developed countries, we find that the
vast majority follow the following principles in their lives:
a. Ethics, as a basic principle
b. Integrity
c. Responsibility
d. Respect to the laws and rules of the land
e. Respect to the rights of other citizens
f. loving their work
g. Strive for saving and investment
h. Will to be of superior action
i. Punctuality at work and play
5. In poor countries, only a minority follow these basic principles in their daily life.
6. We are not poor because we lack natural resources or because natural is cruel to us.
7. We are poor because we lack attitude. (of being responsible citizen)
8. We lack the will to comply with teach these functional principles of the rich and developed
societies.
Amazing Maths !
If:
A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Z Y Z
Is represented as:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
Then:
K – N – O – W – L – E – D – G - E
11 + 14 + 15 + 23 + 12 + 5 + 4 + 7 + 5 = 96%
And:
H – A – R – D – W – O – R - K
8 + 1 + 18 + 4 + 23 + 15 + 18 + 11 = 98%
But:
A– T – I – T – U – D – E
1 + 20 + 20 + 9 + 21 + 4 + 5 = 100%
Our India Series V
Transforming India - 3 (That must be diffused )
11 Silver Estate,
Pilibhit Bypass Road,
PO Rohilkhand University
Bareilly-243006 (U.P.)
amashokgoel@gmail.com
Air Marshal Ashok K. Goel (Retd.)
PVSM AVSM VM
That must be diffused
The population BOMB
1. India’s Population Policy- much to catch up and learn from others!
India has 1, 200 million people. Chins has 1,314 million. Nearly 27 million are born every year in India and ONLY 15 million in China. China has had a more effective population policy than India, although they started in 1970. India’s population policy started much earlier, in 1952. By 2045, (now expected by 2025) we shall overtake the Chinese population, with an India population of 1,550 million! Life expectancy in China is now 74 years vs 68 years in India. In China the average family size is 3.63 members. In India it is much higher, with 5.52 members.
2. Percentage of people below poverty line. China and India
We fail to understood the fact why some thinkers and leaders in India, mention that our population is our strength. How can they make such statements, with so much poverty, illiteracy and a low standard of living? It’s a nightmare for the poor in India!
3. India’s economic parameters- the simple truth!
India has 17% of the world’s population, 2.2% of the land area, 1.72% of the world’s GDP and only 1% of the world trade. This means that 98.27% of the World’s GDP [Buying Power] and 99% of the world’s trade is not with India! India must plan larger exports, for increasing the standard of living of its people.
4. Adjustment for population increase The hard facts!
It the GDP grows by 9.2% per year, as in 2006-2007, the per capita does not grow at 9.2%. It is reduced due to the yearly population increase, and due to inflation and other issues. Therefore the final per capita increase would be much lesser. This is only, one of the disadvantages, of ballooning population.
Our India Series IV
Pilibhit Bypass Road,
PO Rohilkhand University
Bareilly-243006 (U.P.)
amashokgoel@gmail.com
Air Marshal Ashok K. Goel (Retd.)
PVSM AVSM VM
That must be diffused
The population BOMB
1. India’s Population Policy- much to catch up and learn from others!
India has 1, 200 million people. Chins has 1,314 million. Nearly 27 million are born every year in India and ONLY 15 million in China. China has had a more effective population policy than India, although they started in 1970. India’s population policy started much earlier, in 1952. By 2045, (now expected by 2025) we shall overtake the Chinese population, with an India population of 1,550 million! Life expectancy in China is now 74 years vs 68 years in India. In China the average family size is 3.63 members. In India it is much higher, with 5.52 members.
2. Percentage of people below poverty line. China and India
We fail to understood the fact why some thinkers and leaders in India, mention that our population is our strength. How can they make such statements, with so much poverty, illiteracy and a low standard of living? It’s a nightmare for the poor in India!
3. India’s economic parameters- the simple truth!
India has 17% of the world’s population, 2.2% of the land area, 1.72% of the world’s GDP and only 1% of the world trade. This means that 98.27% of the World’s GDP [Buying Power] and 99% of the world’s trade is not with India! India must plan larger exports, for increasing the standard of living of its people.
4. Adjustment for population increase The hard facts!
It the GDP grows by 9.2% per year, as in 2006-2007, the per capita does not grow at 9.2%. It is reduced due to the yearly population increase, and due to inflation and other issues. Therefore the final per capita increase would be much lesser. This is only, one of the disadvantages, of ballooning population.
Our India Series IV
Transforming India - 2 (The INDIA you may not know)
11 Silver Estate,
Pilibhit Bypass Road,
PO Rohilkhand University
Bareilly-243006 (U.P.)
amashokgoel@gmail.com
Air Marshal Ashok K. Goel (Retd.)
PVSM AVSM VM
The INDIA you may not know
1. 71% or 770 million people are below 35 years of age. Indians are young.
2. 90% to 94% drop out rate of children between kindergarten and 10+2. This includes those who have never been to school.
3. 300 million unemployed of employable age and only 41 million have actually registered with employment offices with little or no hope of getting employment (our estimates)
4. The Indian definition of literacy is based on a survey of people-“If you can write your name, you are literate”; nobody has seriously ever challenged this definition!
5. India has only 1.72 % of the world GDP and has 17% of the world population. Demands are high but buying power is low. Hence we will need but buying power is low. Hence we will need to increase our exports related activities by 10 times, as the foreign trade is 1.00% down from 33% 1000 years ago, down from 27% wh9en the British landed in India and down from 3% in 1947.
6. As per www. Loksatta.org, about Rs. 2, 600 crores are spent every day, to govern India at the centre and state levels, both on revenue as well as on capital account. Is this transparent? Is the money well spent? Citizens need to use The Right to Information, RTI bill, and also take part in the governance of India, through citizen groups.
Our India Series II
11 Silver Estate,
Pilibhit Bypass Road,
PO Rohilkhand University
Bareilly-243006 (U.P.)
amashokgoel@gmail.com
Air Marshal Ashok K. Goel (Retd.)
PVSM AVSM VM
A Tale of 3 countries, after 1947 Germany, India, Japan
Human Development is the key and not the size of quantity of natural resources of a country!
Germany India Japan
Total Area ‘000 sq km 357 3288 377
Coastline km 2,389 7,000 29,751
Population millions 82 1200
(as on 2010) 127
Median age years 43 25 44
Population growth rate % -0.033 +1.606 -0.088
Life expectancy years 79 68 82
Literacy % age 15 & over can read & write 99 61* 99
Effect of 2nd World War Destroyed Intact Destroyed
Rebuilding started 1946-47 1947 1946-47
* If you can sign you name you are literate.
Our India Series III
Pilibhit Bypass Road,
PO Rohilkhand University
Bareilly-243006 (U.P.)
amashokgoel@gmail.com
Air Marshal Ashok K. Goel (Retd.)
PVSM AVSM VM
The INDIA you may not know
1. 71% or 770 million people are below 35 years of age. Indians are young.
2. 90% to 94% drop out rate of children between kindergarten and 10+2. This includes those who have never been to school.
3. 300 million unemployed of employable age and only 41 million have actually registered with employment offices with little or no hope of getting employment (our estimates)
4. The Indian definition of literacy is based on a survey of people-“If you can write your name, you are literate”; nobody has seriously ever challenged this definition!
5. India has only 1.72 % of the world GDP and has 17% of the world population. Demands are high but buying power is low. Hence we will need but buying power is low. Hence we will need to increase our exports related activities by 10 times, as the foreign trade is 1.00% down from 33% 1000 years ago, down from 27% wh9en the British landed in India and down from 3% in 1947.
6. As per www. Loksatta.org, about Rs. 2, 600 crores are spent every day, to govern India at the centre and state levels, both on revenue as well as on capital account. Is this transparent? Is the money well spent? Citizens need to use The Right to Information, RTI bill, and also take part in the governance of India, through citizen groups.
Our India Series II
11 Silver Estate,
Pilibhit Bypass Road,
PO Rohilkhand University
Bareilly-243006 (U.P.)
amashokgoel@gmail.com
Air Marshal Ashok K. Goel (Retd.)
PVSM AVSM VM
A Tale of 3 countries, after 1947 Germany, India, Japan
Human Development is the key and not the size of quantity of natural resources of a country!
Germany India Japan
Total Area ‘000 sq km 357 3288 377
Coastline km 2,389 7,000 29,751
Population millions 82 1200
(as on 2010) 127
Median age years 43 25 44
Population growth rate % -0.033 +1.606 -0.088
Life expectancy years 79 68 82
Literacy % age 15 & over can read & write 99 61* 99
Effect of 2nd World War Destroyed Intact Destroyed
Rebuilding started 1946-47 1947 1946-47
* If you can sign you name you are literate.
Our India Series III
Transforming India - 1
11 Silver Estate,
Pilibhit Bypass Road,
PO Rohilkhand University
Bareilly-243006 (U.P.)
amashokgoel@gmail.com
Air Marshal Ashok K. Goel (Retd.)
PVSM AVSM VM
Comparable data (As on Jan 2009)
Education
1. India has 27,000 foreign students while Australia has 400,000 foreign students.
2. India has 1.0 million schools vs 1.8 million in China.
3. India has 373 Universities vs 900 in China.
Governance
1. Tourist traffic into India is only 4 million per year vs 80 million per year into China.
2. World trade is about 1.0% against 8.0% for China.
3. Electrical loss due to transmission and other losses from electricity boards vary from 25% to 50% in India vs 6% to 8% in China
4. Foreign exchange reserves about US $ 314 billion for India vs US$ 1493 billion in China
Economy
1. India has only 1.8% of world GDP. Buying power is low, but demand is high due to high population of 17%. Exports are the answer. Enough emphasis not given so far in 60 years. SEZ’s need to grow faster.
Employment Generation
1. While China spends nearly 2.5 % of GDP on Vocational Education & Training (VET) in 5000,000 VET centres covering nearly 3000 vocations. India hardly spends 0.1% of its GDP in VET in 5500 centres covering about 200 vocations. (The actual expenses in VET are more but data is not available).
2. The Demographic dividend of supplying young skilled manpower to the world markets must be seized by future Indians by using VET.
3. The present work force of 509 million can be divided into 29 million in the organized sector and 480 million in the unorganized sector. The biggest challenge facing us is to provide world class VET for the 480 million in the unorganized sector!
Our India Series I
Pilibhit Bypass Road,
PO Rohilkhand University
Bareilly-243006 (U.P.)
amashokgoel@gmail.com
Air Marshal Ashok K. Goel (Retd.)
PVSM AVSM VM
Comparable data (As on Jan 2009)
Education
1. India has 27,000 foreign students while Australia has 400,000 foreign students.
2. India has 1.0 million schools vs 1.8 million in China.
3. India has 373 Universities vs 900 in China.
Governance
1. Tourist traffic into India is only 4 million per year vs 80 million per year into China.
2. World trade is about 1.0% against 8.0% for China.
3. Electrical loss due to transmission and other losses from electricity boards vary from 25% to 50% in India vs 6% to 8% in China
4. Foreign exchange reserves about US $ 314 billion for India vs US$ 1493 billion in China
Economy
1. India has only 1.8% of world GDP. Buying power is low, but demand is high due to high population of 17%. Exports are the answer. Enough emphasis not given so far in 60 years. SEZ’s need to grow faster.
Employment Generation
1. While China spends nearly 2.5 % of GDP on Vocational Education & Training (VET) in 5000,000 VET centres covering nearly 3000 vocations. India hardly spends 0.1% of its GDP in VET in 5500 centres covering about 200 vocations. (The actual expenses in VET are more but data is not available).
2. The Demographic dividend of supplying young skilled manpower to the world markets must be seized by future Indians by using VET.
3. The present work force of 509 million can be divided into 29 million in the organized sector and 480 million in the unorganized sector. The biggest challenge facing us is to provide world class VET for the 480 million in the unorganized sector!
Our India Series I
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